Showing posts with label Leopardstown. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Leopardstown. Show all posts

Monday, October 29, 2012

Supreme Novices 2013 update: Waaheb, Sizing Rio & Pique Sous


The last week has seen a number of prospective Cheltenham bound novice hurdlers deliver credible performances. While in this country we’ve been light on potential Supreme Novice Hurdlers, Ireland has thrown up a few.

The highly anticipated hurdling debut of the top class bumper horse Waaheb came last Tuesday and he displayed all the attributes which made him such a potent force in National Hunt flat races. In January 2011 he won his first bumper, in February his second and in April his third. On each occasion he won easily marking him out as Ireland’s best prospect in that sphere and it was almost inevitable that, having previously been owned by trainer Dermot Weld’s son, he would be purchased by JP McManus. In his colours he stepped up in class, skipping the likely stamina test of the Cheltenham’s Champion Bumper, and took in in the Punchestown Festival’s Champion I.N.H Flat Race. Waaheb was sent off the 15/8 favourite and up until that point he had been vastly superior to those he had faced, but this time he met his match in Lovethehigherlaw, who was Willie Mullins’s best bumper horse that season. At the end of an epic battle up Punchestown’s home straight Willie Mullins son of Presenting ultimately outstayed Dermot Weld’s charge. The untimely demise of Lovethehigherlaw robbed him of a bright future over obstacles and it was left to Waaheb give us a sense of what might have been.

Almost immediately after the race Waaheb was made favourite, in most antepost lists, for the 2012 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle, remaining in that position until it was sadly confirmed that injury had ruled him out for the season. Seemingly unconcerned by his injury bookmakers once again put him in as antepost favourite, before he jumped a hurdle in public, for the 2013 version. Waaheb’s latent talent was there for all to see in bumpers, the question was whether he could carry over this talent to the hurdling game. The signs from his seasonal reappearance at Fairyhouse are generally good.

Having settled well in last place for Mark Walsh he took on the first flight and, almost certainly due to his inexperience, he dived at it. This was, in reality, of little concern and somewhat in response to that he ballooned the second. After these early sighters he jumped efficiently, only jumping left when forced to by Coldstonesober, never losing ground on the leaders. Unsurprisingly for a horse that showed so much class in bumpers, Waaheb travelled strongly throughout and as he picked off his opponents one by one there was never a question who the winner would be. As he approached the last, upsides a couple of others, it seemed a comfortable victory was on the cards. Following a decent final jump, he was shaken up and put in a burst of acceleration taking him away from the field posting an even more impressive performance than looked likely, winning by six-and-a-half lengths. This performance showed that his injury and time off has not dented his pace, pace that many of his subsequent rivals will lack. He jumped well enough for a debut and there is little doubt that he will improve significantly from this race. Whether he will show his true ability when stepped up in grade later in the season on heavy ground is up for debate. What is not up for debate is that he is a novice hurdler with abundant promise, and with the anticipated progress from his debut he is one to be feared by all.

Just one race before Waaheb’s hurdling debut was a maiden hurdle restricted to four-year-olds and it is possible we saw another Supreme contender in that contest. This was a performance that has gone under the radar due to its proximity to Waaheb’s comeback, but it was no less impressive.


Sizing Rio began his career winning a point-to-point at Bennettsbridge by three lengths. It is difficult to know what he achieved there but, interestingly, in third that day was Clondaw Kaempfer who went on to win a valuable and competitive Fairyhouse bumper before moving to Donald McCain, for whom he won a novices’ hurdle impressively on Sunday.

On his first run under rules for Henry De Bromhead and the Potts Family, Sizing Rio disappointed. He was fancied to run well in a good four-year-old bumper at the Punchestown festival but he weakened tamely. It was assumed that back over obstacles he would be a different proposition and this was the case. He started second favourite behind Noel Meade’s Cops And Robbers. Cops And Robbers had been useful on the flat for Sir Michael Stoute (sold for £125,000) and had shaped well on his hurdling debut in Grade 3 so this was no easy task.

Positioned in second for most of the race, Sizing Rio jumped quickly and accurately, his technique improving as the race progressed. He was tracked throughout by major market rival Cops And Robbers and once tearaway leader Strategic Bid fell by the wayside it looked as if this son of Heron Island might have severe competition from Noel Meade’s charge. However, it soon became apparent that Sizing Rio was maintaining his advantage over Cops And Robbers and the race was put beyond doubt as he quickened around the home turn while the runner-up was struggling to keep him in sight. The final winning distance was eighteen lengths and there was a further eighteen back to the third. It may be argued that the form is weak but before the race Cops And Robbers was thought of as good hurdling prospect and I have no reason to doubt that, especially when one considers the fact that he has already won since, at Wexford on Sunday. There are few better in Ireland at producing Cheltenham horses than Henry De Bromhead and in Sizing Rio, who barely came off the bridle to achieve this demolition, jumping with alacrity and showing no lack of pace, he could have another one.


At the end of the last National Hunt season Pique Sous would have been at the forefront of many people’s minds when considering candidates for next (now this) season’s Supreme Novices. After a promising run on debut, in the valuable sales bumper at Fairyhouse, in April 2011 he was not seen out again until February of this year at Leopardstown. At Leopardstown he won impressively, displaying a turn of foot rarely seen in Irish bumpers. He then went to the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham, supposedly, as Mullins’ best chance in the race. While he cantered all over his stablemate and resulting winner Champagne Fever, he was just outstayed and could manage only third. Mullins was keen to get more experience into him and therefore ran him three more times in National Hunt flat races during the summer, winning twice, before commencing his hurdling campaign at Cork in late August.

There was little doubt beforehand that Pique Sous would win on his hurdling debut and he was sent off at 1/3 but racing is, of course, never that simple and he failed to hold off Ted Dolly losing out by 2¾ lengths. He was far too free on that day pulling hard, giving himself little chance to finish strongly. Some suggested it was his jumping that let him down on this occasion and to a small extent I agree. It was deliberate at times, early on, but it was not causing him to lose ground. The crucial error came at the fourth last, where he severely pecked on landing, but this was mainly due to a horse in front jumping across him leaving unsighted. This clearly worried the son of Martaline as he ploughed through the next hurdle before his jockey, Emmet Mullins, finally let him stride on and he jumped the last beautifully. Unfortunately for connections, he just had nothing left to fend off the fast finishing winner.

On Wednesday, Pique Sous came out again at Thurles and connections were hoping he could redeem himself. The major concern from his hurdling debut was his keenness and to counter this, a change of tactics was employed by Ruby Walsh. Willie Mullins’ five-year-old was always likely to benefit from his hurdling bow, but setting off in front definitely made a difference. Pique Sous largely had an uncontested lead at Thurles and until a mistake at the fourth last he held a 3 or length cushion allowing him to settle in front. He was still keen enough through the race, although not to the extent of his previous racecourse experience, but despite the one aforementioned blunder he jumped noticeably well, thereby forcing his opposition to put in the extra effort which ultimately told. Rounding the final bend the field were closer than at any point during the race yet this time Pique Sous was able to pull away from his pursuers, posting a five length victory in the process.

Willie Mullins pointed out after the race that his is a horse that needs decent ground and he may be aimed at the Open Meeting at Cheltenham in November. This will be a real test for him as he will find it tougher to make all, if these are the tactics they employ again, and if he runs too free again the higher class of opposition, along with the stiff Cheltenham finish, could find him out. If Pique Sous does learn to settle though, and allows himself to be dropped in and ridden for the speed he showed in bumpers, he will be a force to be reckoned with. I do not share the concerns of many about his jumping, as it looks to me like the faster they go the better he jumps, and there aren’t too many slow Supremes.

Monday, February 13, 2012

Deloitte Novice Hurdle Review

Before the race this looked an informative Supreme Novices trial with a number towards the top of the antepost lists, including three grade 1 winners. After the race it looks more like a Neptune Investments/Albert Bartlett novices hurdle trial if it’s to have any bearing on the Cheltenham Festival at all.

Largely unconsidered for the Leopardstown contest and almost entirely unconsidered for the Championship Novice events at the Festival, Benefficient, at odds of 50/1, caused a shock by winning the Deloitte Novices Hurdle over 2m2f. The outsider of the seven runner field set off boldly in front and, thanks to a neat tactical ride from Bryan Cooper, was never headed. Jumping soundly throughout Tony Martin’s charge always looked comfortable and he quickened smartly from the second last creating an unassailable lead in the process.

After a wholly unsuccessful hurdling debut over two miles, he was stepped up in trip an extra four furlongs at Navan. Front-running tactics were employed and he lost his maiden tag in style, defeating the well regarded 1/2 favourite Knockgraffon King by eight lengths. Then, last time out, over a trip over another 2 furlongs further at Thurles more of the same was expected as he was sent off favourite. On this occasion Benefficient ran as if something was amiss, finishing pulled up in a race won by, the admittedly smart, Folsom Blue. After the race he scoped dirty and in hindsight, evidently too much emphasis was placed on this lacklustre display and, as a result, he was severely underestimated in the market for the Deloitte.

While this son of Beneficial deserved his victory, it is hard not to come to the conclusion that the result would have been different were the race to be run again. Tactics were all important and I struggle to envisage him pulling off something similar at Cheltenham, particularly in his probable target the Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle. He is clearly at home over a trip further than two miles hence I would be stunned to discover that the Supreme was on his agenda.

Where Bryan Cooper on Benefficient won the tactical battle, Ruby Walsh on Sous Les Cieux lost it. He held Sous Les Cieux back in last place from the off and he was not helped by the relatively slow jumping from his mount early on. He struggled to get into a threatening position for most of the way until just as Walsh made his move Sous Les Cieux made a race defining error as his momentum was lost, leaving the eventual winner too far clear. Sous Les Cieux stayed on strongly up the straight and was gaining ground on the leader all the way to the line but a second grade 1 victory never looked on the cards.

I have written before of my liking for this horse but I have never been convinced that two miles was his trip. He won his maiden over two-and-a-half miles very impressively and then he was dropped down to the minimum trip in the grade 1 Royal Bond which he also won well. This showed he had the necessary speed for two miles but I felt that a positive ride from Ruby Walsh had won him the day. He picked the pace up from the front runner early in the straight and used his stamina to best effect comfortably holding off the speedy Galileo’s Choice. At Leopardstown, on his next start, he was tried again in a small field grade 1 over two miles (the Future Champions Novice Hurdle) and this time he was in front from the off. Unfortunately for connections he was too keen and folded tamely in a race that seemed all wrong, the form is probably worth ignoring when considering the major novice hurdles in the spring. Most people were content in putting a line through that performance and as such he was sent off favourite on Sunday.

The extra two furlongs were expected to suit and he ran a far better race using tactics far removed from his previous foray to Leopardstown. Had he jumped the second last with any fluency he probably would have won and he may still have been a live candidate for the Supreme but the manner in which he finished on Sunday suggests this is a horse that will surely thrive for a return over further in the Neptune. Ideally I hope Willie Mullins will decide to step the stamina filled Boston Bob up in trip as well and target him at the eminently winnable Albert Bartlett on Gold Cup day, paving the way for Sous Les Cieux to take on Fingal Bay. The current best price available for this son of Saints Des Saints (16/1) is reasonable as I can’t see him going for any other race at Cheltenham and it has the propensity to dramatically shorten were Mullins to do the right thing and run Boston Bob in the Albert Bartlett. If there is a horse to come out of the Deloitte and challenge at Cheltenham it is Sous Les Cieux but it won’t be in the Supreme Novices.   

Another horse bound to improve for a step up in trip was the third on Sunday, Il Fenomeno. This Italian bred son of Denon ran a huge race in the circumstances and is a gelding I had underrated up to this point. In his second season as a novice, Noel Meade’s charge has improved beyond all recognition and his grade 3 win over stablemate Dylan Ross in November set a decent level of form. In the Royal Bond next time he patently lacked the pace for two miles and, as he showed in the Deloitte as well, he lacks the pace of Sous Les Cieux. Il Fenomeno’s run on Sunday suggests to me that a significant step up in trip is required. He put his head down and battled all the way up the run in and even with a final flight blunder he held off a challenge from Lord Windermere. Sadly his only festival entry is in the Supreme and I now doubt whether he will turn up at Cheltenham at all.

Prior to the race Lord Windermere did not look to have the class to win this grade 1 and it showed as he was well placed throughout but lacked the finishing speed of Benefficient, the stamina of Sous Le Cieux and the battling qualities of Il Fenomeno. Finishing fourth was no disgrace and like most of the field he will benefit from a step up in trip but he was exposed as being below top class here and a trip to Cheltenham would surprise me. Of the rest, Burn And Turn was outclassed and finished last but is capable of winning decent races back at her level. The two major disappointments of the race were both previous grade 1 winners. Cash And Go and Captain Conan had both won races where the form is questionable and doubts over their credibility as Supreme Novice candidates were well founded.

Cash And Go had won the Future Champions Novice Hurdle, the race in which Sous Les Cieux disappointed, but I suspect all bar the winner ran below form. Even Edward O’Grady’s charge jumped poorly in winning that grade 1. He had excuses on Sunday, as he was found to be lame and scoped badly post race, so it is possible to put a line through that run but even judged on his grade 1 win he is not a horse I would consider for the Festival curtain raiser.

Captain Conan had been gift-wrapped his grade 1 victory by Colour Squadron in the Tolworth at Sandown. Had Colour Squadron been able to stay on a reasonably straight course he would have won relatively comfortably and the shocking run of Prospect Wells also leaves further question marks surrounding the strength of the form. Nicky Henderson’s French import travelled well through the Deloitte but emptied alarmingly quickly. Inexperience may have cost him and it would not be a surprise if there were excuses akin to those of Cash And Go but as his trainer had suggested before the race Captain Conan is next year’s horse and will in all probability miss Cheltenham. He may well flourish over fences and be serious contender for the 2013 festival but this year Henderson has far better prospects for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.