Tuesday, February 18, 2014

Supreme Novices Update: Wilde Blue Yonder

Wilde Blue Yonder began his career in unexpectedly good style when narrowly failing to topple the hotly fancied Purple Bay (who would later finish fifth in the Champion Bumper) at Doncaster. A tilt at the Aintree Bumper was far from unreasonable, yet ultimately unsuccessful. He was keen early and moved through the race comfortably before being outpaced when the leading protagonists set sail for home. He stuck on well for a period until his enthusiastic nature caught up with him, finishing eleventh of nineteen. At this early stage in his career it was an eminently forgivable run.

Such a stern test did him no harm as he returned this season to outclass his opposition in a Uttoxeter bumper in early November. He then made a winning start over hurdles at Newbury in a race that, to a degree, has worked out well. Seedling stayed on into second and he has underperformed since in desperate conditions but Tiqris, whom Wilde Blue Yonder saw off nicely after a protracted battle, has won impressively since and finished second in a Listed race. Seven lengths behind the winner in fourth was the heavily punted favourite, Sign Of A Victory who bolted up in a jumpers bumper at Kempton on his next start while back in fifth, Fascino Rustico was a likely winner at Wincanton on Saturday until coming to grief, having narrowly missed out in a traditionally strong novice hurdle at Kempton on Boxing Day.

Paul Nicholls’ charge was far too keen behind Wild Blue Yonder hence his superiority over him was exaggerated and despite dossing in front he failed to beat Tiqris with the same level of ease as Josses Hill, who went onto to shape best of all when narrowly outstayed in the Tolworth. Josses Hill is a raw chaser in the making and despite both meeting Tiqris on hurdling debut it was the Winged Love gelding who was most inconvenienced by the lack of experience. Wilde Blue Yonder was generally quicker over his hurdles despite the prescient error at the final obstacle, where he almost failed to take off entirely. Josses Hill showed in the Tolworth how quickly novices can improve and Wilde Blue Yonder will need develop rapidly if he is to best Nicky Henderson's imposing prospect at Cheltenham.

A return to Newbury a month later saw him face a field of five including another Seven Barrows inmate, Stand To Reason. Largely overrated on the back of a comfortable success in lowly company at Wincanton, Stand To Reason (Wilde Blue Yonder’s only meaningful rival) was ridden with restraint by Tony McCoy, as he attempted to settle alongside. The gallop was steady until Wilde Blue Yonder quickened off the final bend applying pressure to the former flat performer. That seemed to tell as he met the third last all wrong with McCoy fortunate to maintain his partnership. Nicky Henderson’s six-year-old looked beaten.

Robert Thornton’s mount generally hurdled with fluency through the first three-quarters of the race, barring one lazy error at the fourth, yet once more as the race moved towards its climax and each jump gained greater significance his technique unravelled. At the second last this cavalier son of Oscar threw himself at the flight, giving little thought to self-preservation, and an opportunity was suddenly presented to his pursuer as Robert Thornton manfully held on.

McCoy was motionless atop Stand To Reason as they headed away from the penultimate flight but, in spite of his blunder, Wild Blue Yonder was far from beaten and regained the lead under strong pressure from his rider. Having seemingly travelled well up the straight, Stand To Reason was urged to match his gutsy rival but despite the Champion Jockey not throwing everything at his mount there appeared to be little left to give as he failed to assert at the last.

I felt Alan King’s gelding was about to go clear, his pursuer unable to cope with the testing conditions and a superior novice. That is debatable, though Wilde Blue Yonder’s clumsiness is not. Having guessed at the previous hurdle he just managed to pick his legs up high enough to avoid catastrophe, albeit narrowly. At the last he was not so lucky as he found himself in too close after a final unnecessary stride, a mistake not dissimilar to that made a month earlier from which he survived. It was a heavy, potentially confidence knocking fall.

Without the mental lapses Wilde Blue Yonder probably would have come out on top in December, though only after a hard fought tussle with his well-regarded opponent and a stretch of the imagination was needed to place him into the Supreme reckoning, even for place purposes. Considering the problems in the King camp, however, that run could be looked upon more favourably than the performance suggests. It was still hard not to be concerned by the calamitous nature of his displays though and, with his yard now through the worst of its problems, the threat of a late tumble had to be in the back of one’s mind on Saturday even if Wilde Blue Yonder had a form edge at Ascot.

Another small field awaited at the east Berkshire venue, this time he was faced with three meaningful rivals, most notably the well backed favourite and eventual winner, Mountain King. Charlie Longsdon’s Wadswick Court made the running and he set a slow pace early on, forcing much of the field to pull. Wilde Blue Yonder actually settled relatively well in rear and with minimal pressure on his jumping, he was fluent.

The race begun in earnest as Mountain King faltered at the fourth from home, in the process losing considerable ground. In order to recover, Richard Johnson woke him up, moving from last to first in striking fashion on the run to the home turn. This injection of pace caught Wilde Blue Yonder marginally flat footed as he had to be shaken up to maintain position and then join those quickening clear. The response was swift and telling, eye-catchingly making his way up the inside into the lead at the second last. Under pressure, but by no means all out, he then drew three lengths clear as earlier exertions appeared to tell for the rest apart from the pace-setter who plugged on admirably. The race looked in safe keeping, only the last flight was between Wilde Blue Yonder and an impressive victory, finally a performance worthy of a Supreme place.

Predictably, the last proved too big an obstacle for this exasperating five-year-old as once again he guessed at the flight, sprawled on landing and gave Robert Thornton another moment to forget. This mistake was reminiscent of that made at Newbury’s penultimate hurdle in December, the horse took off more in hope than expectation. He needs to have his mind made up for him, with the race at your mercy Wilde Blue Yonder is not one who can be left to sort himself out and ‘pop’ an obstacle. Given past indiscretions the jockey must shoulder some blame. By now there should have been some inkling that such an event was possible, sitting still once more was insufficient. With the emergence of First Mohican, Wayne Hutchinson may be in the saddle at Cheltenham, as Robert Thornton switches to the classy flat performer, and that can only be a plus.

Even with the services of Hutchinson, and hopefully a new plan of action, it is difficult to justify backing Wilde Blue Yonder for the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle. The risk is too great, if he is unable to cope with the pressure of small field contests several notches below the level of the Supreme how can he be trusted to keep his race intact at the last in March. Eventually this weakness is bound to be remedied and was it to vanish at Cheltenham he could prove dangerous to those solid propositions ahead of him in the market though a leap of faith is still needed.

Saturday was going to be a clear career best for Wilde Blue Yonder but I am not convinced the form will turn out to be strong and a four or five length defeat of Wadswick Court would still leave significant room for improvement if he is to become a Festival player.  

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